Week 11 Recap: Michigan

Now that the dust has settled, let's take a deeper look at Indiana's matchup against Michigan.

Programming Note: There will be a bonus BSB Recap later this week breaking down this weekend’s game in a much deeper way. For now, please enjoy these in-depth metrics below!

Indiana exorcised some demons as a program on Saturday, in its defeat of Michigan, 20-15. For what was a close game, Indiana ended with a 96.5% postgame win expectancy, according to ESPN SP+, which means the Hoosiers left a lot on the field in unforced ways. Another example is shown below, which compares net success rates (via Parker Fleming):

First of all, yikes, Iowa! Second, Indiana’s game against Michigan was not nearly as close as the score leads us to believe. Getting out of there with a win was huge for the Hoosiers.

Now, Indiana stands with the second-highest odds to make the College Football Playoff (behind Oregon) and goes into the second bye week having slayed a middle portion of its schedule — Nebraska (45th in SP+), Washington (46th), Michigan State (83rd), and Michigan (40th) — with a scoring margin of 154-49.

[Prepare for Tuesday’s updated CFB rankings with last week’s BSB]

Inside this BSB weekly recap:

• Offense and Defense Snap Counts and PFF Grades

• Indiana Cumulative EPA Tracker, Offense and Defense

• Big Ten EPA/play Comparison

• Big Ten QB Comparison Chart

• Big Ten WR EPA/target Chart & Indiana Pass-Catcher Comparison Chart

• Big Ten DL Havoc Chart

• Indiana OL Production & Big Ten OL PFF Grades Distribution

If you missed the Bite-Sized Bison Gameday Roundup after the game, it discusses scenario-based EPA, cumulative EPA, and win probability, as well as more traditional stats and their respective top performers for each team. You can find it at the button below.

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Indiana Offensive Snap Counts & Grades